FOMC's Forecasting Fog: Why 38% Probability is the Only Metric That Matters for Bitcoin
Trust is a variable I no longer solve for. Sixty-two percent of the market...
Price Analysis
•
0xKai
•
2026-07-30
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$79,630 | -1.56% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$2,454.12 | -1.95% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$101.98 | -1.48% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$723 | +0.37% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.4 | -2.57% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0849 | -2.37% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.2108 | -5.43% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$7.4 | -1.36% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8978 | +1.85% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$11.65 | -1.39% |
Fear & Greed
73
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202628
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
Altseason Index
41
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Trend Tags
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$79,630
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,454.12
1
Solana
SOL
$101.98
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$723
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.4
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0849
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2108
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.4
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8978
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.65
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0xfddf...5e1f
2m ago
In
5,017,193 USDT
🟢
0xb7e6...9e63
1h ago
In
50,020 BNB
🔴
0xa410...010b
12h ago
Out
1,889,241 DOGE
💡 Smart Money
0xa112...6211
Top DeFi Miner
+$4.9M
95%
0xf14a...203f
Arbitrage Bot
+$4.3M
87%
0x002e...d75a
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.2M
80%
#Federal Open Market Committee
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Price Analysis
•
Alextoshi
•
2026-07-06